Tri-Cities job growth narrows to a single sector

 

AI SUMMARY

Tri-Cities job market performance has narrowed. The region added almost no jobs over the past year. Health care and education did nearly all the lifting, adding 700 jobs, while construction, finance, and information lost ground. The same sectors growing nationally are growing here, only slower. Reviewed  by CoreData

 

By DON FENLEY 

The Tri-Cities job market is still growing. It is just growing on one leg, and that leg’s pay performance is at the lower end of the regional pay scale.

Payroll employment across the region reached about 216,600 jobs in May. That was up just 200 jobs from a year earlier, a gain of 0.1%, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). And the near-flat total hides a labor market that has narrowed to a single engine.

One sector is doing the work

That engine is health care. Private education and health services added 700 jobs over the year.  Take that one sector out of the math, and the region’s job count would have shrunk.

The rest of the job sectors were quiet. Leisure and hospitality added 200 jobs. Manufacturing, professional and business services, and government each added 100. Those gains were small. Several of them sit within the survey’s margin for error.

The losses tell the story

The declines were just as telling. Mining, logging, and construction lost 300 jobs. Financial activities lost 300. Information lost 200. Retail trade and other services each gave back 100.

The split is not random. The sectors shedding jobs are the ones most sensitive to interest rates. Construction hiring slows when borrowing stays expensive and homebuilding cools. Banking, lending, and insurance, grouped together as financial activities, pull back for the same reason. Information continues a long slide in media and tech.

Why the market narrowed

Healthcare moves to a different beat. An aging population needs more doctors, nurses, and home health aides every year. That demand holds up no matter what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates. So while rate-sensitive sectors retreat, health care keeps hiring. That is the core of why the local market has narrowed.

The picture looks brighter inside 2026 at first glance. Payrolls have grown by 2,700 jobs since January. But most of that reflects normal spring hiring in tourism and government. The year-over-year comparison strips out those seasonal swings. It shows a market closer to flat.

The nation, only faster

The country is running the same race at a quicker pace. U.S. employers added 172,000 jobs in May, more than double what forecasters expected. The national unemployment rate held at 4.3%.

What stands out is the overlap. Nationally, the May gains came from leisure and hospitality, local government, and health care. Financial activities fell. That is nearly the same lineup driving the Tri-Cities. The difference is speed. The country is still posting solid monthly gains. The Tri-Cities is closer to standing still.

For the Tri-Cities, the message is narrow but clear. The job market is not falling. It is leaning. And it leans harder each month on the one sector still reliably adding workers. And while private education and health services is reliable for employment growth, its overall wage performance tilts toward the lower end of the regional pay scale.



Categories: LABOR MARKET

Have a comment, questions, observation? All are welcome.

Discover more from CoreData @ donfenley.com

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading

Verified by MonsterInsights